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Hammers Trading Scare - Works for ME

The News - Latest News
Written by Jack   
Saturday, 14 February 2009

I really thought this one was going to go tits-up, but a late goal saves my stake and leads to a GREEN screen and three FREE bets.

Close run thing. In-play trading is... risky and sometimes you have to be frisky!

Sure, I traded a few pence to get complete cover yet again. I feel no shame in this as my aim is to get to a position where I can ONLY win.

west-ham-v-middlesbrough-fa-cup.gif

 

Blackburn v Coventry Trading Problems After 45 Minutes

The News - Latest News
Written by Jack   
Saturday, 14 February 2009

This one might be a problem...

I Layed Blackburn at low odds after they went 1-0 up expecting the odds to drift as the game went on. This has NOT happened. After 45 minutes the score is the same and the odds have not shifted.

Maybe this was one FA Cup bet to many?

Here's my screen:

blackburn-v-coventry-fa-cup.gif

Things might improve in the next half. Thankfully, my liability is low and my possible trade options could return a decent profit.

Time will tell (grin) if the cat gets it!!

Great GOAL....

The cat is safe and I go GREEN!

Read more...
 

FA Cup Madness in Sheffield When Hull Visit

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Written by Jack   
Saturday, 14 February 2009

This was an easy pick after Sheffield went ahead 1-0 the odds tumbled and I placed a Lay on Sheffield, sucure in the belief that Hull would come back or as time went by the odds would drift, making a good trade position.

As it happens, just before halftime Hull scored and I closed my position with this screen:

Read more...
 

Twisted Trail of Bets - Swansea v Fulham

The News - Latest News
Written by Jack   
Saturday, 14 February 2009

The first of today's live FA Cup matches is still in-play. I've really lost confidence since yesterday's 2nd Test fiasco, which I eventually got my money back after Betfair declared it a void match.

This is reflected in the uncertain way I've traded this match.

Here's my screen with the score 1-1 after 68 minutes:

swansea-v-fulham.gif

Three free bets with the draw more likely at this stage with just a 20 minutes to go.

Here's my final screen to cover the late goal:

Read more...
 

Wing and a Prayer - Nacional (Uru) v Uni San Martin

The News - Latest News
Written by Jack   
Thursday, 12 February 2009

Here's the trade experiment for tonight:

Nacional (Uru) v Uni San Martin two teams I've never heard of. Absolutely no form guide, in fact I don't even know which country the play in!

My liability is £5.60 but with a bit of luck and slow scoring, I could get an automatic trade in the green making the final either way profitable.

Of course, if Nacional take a 3-0 lead my bet is dead in the water.

This one is set to auto-pilot!

Read more...
 

Spain v England Jack the Punter

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Written by Jack   
Wednesday, 11 February 2009

A most unlikely outcome... England to win!

I backed Spain to win. Then Layed them to lose and then took the odds for a full time draw or England win.

Resulting in this unlikely combination of bets:

spain-v-england.gif

Spain should stroll to victory, but you NEVER know when betting in-play at Betfair.

In the very unlikely event that England pull all thumbs and fingers out... my cup could be full.

Stranger things have happened.

At least I'm in the "green" and all bets are FREE

2-0 down 4 minutes to go... looks my England win bet is dead in the water and the team yet again go tits up.

Still, £2.76 with no risk is better than a poke in the eye with a Tapas Bar!

This Betfair experiment is closed.

 

Risky Betfair Experiment Ireland v Georgia

The News - Latest News
Written by Jack   
Wednesday, 11 February 2009

I'll need the luck of the Irish to pull this one off...

I've put a Lay £25.00 on Ireland to LOSE at 1.39 giving me a liability of £9.75

A slow start will surely see the win odds drift out, then I can trade the Bet price and ensure "I'M IN THE GREEN"

That's tonight's football experiment..

Here's my Betfair screens:

Read more...
 

West Indies v England - 2nd Test Betfair Experiment

The News - Latest News
Written by Jack   
Wednesday, 11 February 2009

Match Abandoned

Betfair have declared this match a VOID game and have refunded all bets.

>>> The trail of my bets leading up to the start of the 2nd Test can be seen below<<<


I placed a £15 Lay on the draw between Windies and England in the second test yesterday and got matched at 2's giving a liability of £15.

My thinking is:

If the match when in-play looks likely to end in a stalemate; my Lay bet wins £14.30

CORRECTION: IF IT'S A STALEMATE/DRAW AND I DON'T TRADE MY WAY OUT; I'LL LOSE £14.30

However, if one or the other of the teams while "in-play" takes a lead, the BET price for the draw will go out, leaving me in a strong trading position to close out in-the-green.

Here's my first Lay screen:

windies-england-2nd-test.gif

Here's the trigger waiting to be pulled:

windies-england-2nd-test-trigger.gif

So, if the odds for a draw drift out, I can make a perfect trade and at least recover all stakes, but more likely make a £10.17 profit. If I stay with the draw because the Lay odds stay the same or drift in my profit will be £14.30 (15 quid less the Betfair cut)

CORRECTION: IF IT'S A STALEMATE/DRAW AND I DON'T TRADE MY WAY OUT; I'LL LOSE £14.30

Thats the idea... subject to change when things go in-play!

The first test game nearly turned into a betting fiasco. Read the sorry tale of missed trading chances and a very lucky escape with pants intact.

Remember Lay bets at Betfair can lose you a lot of money and things can ALWAYS go wrong when least expected.

I'll update this post when the game is in play.

Read more...
 
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