Step up to the plate... two great matches and two trading opportunities using the Betfair in-play options.

TODAY'S GRAND EXPERIMENT

Here's my first LAY for a draw between Tottenham v Arsenal placed before the off:

My hope is that a slow start is made and the chances of a draw increase, which with a bit of luck will lower the Lay price. Then when I get a match; I can Bet the draw and get a perfect green.

That's today's experiment... things could go tits-up big time (grin)

Time will tell and the "cat" is ready for action!

Oh, just in case a saver £2 bet on a correct score of Nil-Nil...

Well, it's a great game. End to end stuff and the Ni-Nil bet looks uncertain:

Time will tell if my tits go up or drown!

Things looked so good at the end of the first innings. England managed (just) to get a decent score of 237. The pitch was surpposed to be breaking up and England's bowlers were "up-for-it".

Betfair odds for an England win tumbled... I waded in!

Then the Windies stepped up to bat with devastating effectiveness and took England's bowlers to the cleaners.

Three Lions? 11 PUSSY Cats more like…

This is my final screen and trade for this event:

Betfair has an odds market based on 2 POINTS PER YELLOW CARD AND 5 POINTS PER RED CARD. Two yellow cards leading to an automatic red will score as one yellow and one red card. This market is suspended at kick-off. All bets apply to the full 90 minutes, plus injury time. Cards will only count which are shown to players after they take the pitch for the first time and before they leave the pitch for the final time. Extra time is not included.

Given the current odds (18:24 UK time 5 Feb 09) of "Back" 1.45 (4/9) for 9pts and ABOVE; it should be a "BLOOD BATH". However, recent Spanish matches have tended to be less of a duck & dive give-me and Refs have been far more foregiving for simple contact tackles.

I've already Laid Barca in the hope of a slow start and the Bet odds going out to give me a secure investment (wink) and that doesn't happen very often!

There maybe a chance to lay... Oh, I've also included my "Dog Shite Bet" Lay, which was a sad attempt to recover loses!

There's little or no excuse... I got careless with the experiment.

No realistic trade and this one careless bet has wiped my profits from the Super Bowl and Liverpool trades.

Bugger, fart and shag the cat... my stake is intact and there's always Bradford v Darlington to look forward too.

Betfair, win, lose, draw or get a buggeration.

Oh, don't even try trading the dogs.

This is going to be a challenging experiment.

Here we have two second division teams struggling to stay in contention. At first glance, there's little or no profit for a Betfair trader.

However, by placing a Lay bet on the draw and insurance at 10.5 for the correct score nil-nil draw there will be opportunities to trade when the game goes "in-to-play".

Huh, it really DOES matter more when you have money on it!!!

These are my initial trades:

I've got a liability of £45 plus if there's a draw!

Strewth, with less than 8 minutes to go it was 0-0

It took me 5 minutes to get things back on track.

Here's my final Betfair screen:

For the Newcastle - Sunderland match I'm going to place a correct score bet 0-0 to cover my Lay bet on a draw. When the match goes "In-Play"; all I have to do is wait until the first goal is scored and the draw price to increase before taking a guaranteed profit regardless of the final outcome. Of course the 0-0 bet will be lost but it was just a precaution to cover my Lay bet in the first place (lesson learnt from yesterday's fiasco).

This is today's experiment!

The deal is done and TWO mighty teams will contest for the ultimate prize:

Pittsburgh Steelers
Arizona Cardinals

How can a Betfair trader make money in this market?

Following on from my successful Portuguese minor league football experiment from last night; I decided to invest in today's (31:01:09) early doors match between Stoke & Manchester City.

The formula is the same.

The outcome is guaranteed!

Betfair opens a "market" for each event.

There after; greed takes over (oh, BF takes 5% of winning bets... and STAKE).

The very basic rule is to "BET HIGHEST POSSIBLE PRICE" >>> "LAY AT THE LOWEST POSSIBLE PRICE"

Here I present an alternative WHEN BETTING FOOTBALL.

"LAY THE DRAW" - GO INTO PLAY - "ADJUST ODDS AT 85 MINUTES"

If you don't have a Betfair account you can click the banner above... I'll get a small payment and YOU will ALSO!

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