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Hold on Football Lay Bets - Switch to Racing and Darts

Written by Jack   
Thursday, 12 March 2009

Betfair In-Play Football Matches

The in-play match list is even more restricted than yesterday with only coverage of UEFA Cup 1st Round and a couple of late-night offshore South American matches.

Thu 12th March
17:00 CSKA Moscow v Shakhtar
cska-v-shakhtar.gif
To MUCH temptation: I put a Lay bet on CSKA £10 @ 1.86 and then traded a Back bet on CSKA to get a modest green book. I then recycled the stake money to Lay Galatasaray who are currently 0-1 up at halftime. My guess is Hamburg will score at least one if not two in the second half, given the number of yellow cards Galatasaray have already picked up and the speed of Hamburg's forwards. That's the plan... subject to change!
Result: 1-0 the trade just before halftime avoided a crash-and-burn. Offset £2.52 against last night's losses.

17:00 Hamburg v Galatasaray
hamburg-v-galatasaray.gif
Hamburg produced the required goal and I went GREEN almost immediately, fearing a quick reply by Galatasaray. A nice little trade with minimum risk and modest profits. Re-building the stash... slowly! Oh, CSKA just scored a penalty, so it looks like taking an early modest profit in that game was the right decision.
Result: 1-1 and £6.18 can be offset against yesterday's loses; still a long way to go!

19:15 Paris St-G v Braga
19:30 Liverpool Res v Man Utd Res
19:30 W Bremen v St Etienne
19:45 Man City v AaB
19:45 Marseille v Ajax
19:45 Udinese v Zenit St Petersburg
22:00 Uni San Martin v Nacional (Par)
00:15 Colo Colo v LDU

The last two days have not been very successful for my football bets, so I'm going to give football a rest for a few days and try recovering some of the losses in other markets.

In reflection the decision to Lay Man United nearly came off, as Inter hit the post and bar on a number of occasions and if they had scored... ifs & buts. Who would have thought Atl. Madrid would come up blank?

I'm going to write the last two days off to an experience gain, stop crying in my beer and move on!Cool

Two possible alternative markets for today:

Cheltenham Racing 12th March
13:30 Jewson Nov Hcap Chs
14:05 Pertemps Final
14:40 Ryanair Chase
15:20 World Hurdle
16:00 Festival Plate
16:40 Kim Muir Hcap Chs

I've only placed a couple of £2 win bets during the first two days of the the Festival and my P&L is £3.25 which is better than a loss but not exactly a new personal fortune in the making. Today's fields look quite open and therefore the risk will be high regardless of price.

Darts 2009 Premier League
Van Barneveld v King
T. Jenkins v Wade
Klaasen v Part
Taylor v Mardle

Tonight's darts (live on Sky) looks a lot more interesting, as I do have form from last week when all four matches returned green books while in-play:

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£)
Darts / Part v T. Jenkins : 05-Mar-09 21:40 05-Mar-09 22:11 7.60
Darts / Mardle v Van Barneveld : 05-Mar-09 20:54 05-Mar-09 21:21 8.55
Darts / Taylor v King : 05-Mar-09 20:00 05-Mar-09 20:38 2.85
Darts / Klaasen v Wade : 05-Mar-09 19:00 05-Mar-09 19:46 7.06

Darts: GBP26.06 Total P&L: GBP26.06

Every bet was a Lay against the odds-on favourite and then traded in play for a green book.

Early doors yet and I have plenty of time to study the form.

This experiment was curtailed by personal circumstances (wife wanted to play Scrabble) it's a bugger, sometimes you have to fart, let the cat out and ignore the obvious!

Closed.

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