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Friday, Fabulous Friday - 1st Day of Spring and England Win (ish)

Written by Jack   
Saturday, 21 March 2009

Yesterday's adventures at Betfair turned up some great green positions in the most unlikely circumstances.

I put a Lay bet on England in the ODI against the Windies, set the recliner to 50% and prepared to demolish a bottle of Three Rum, fresh limes and tonic water. Just recently that's the only way to watch the England cricket team mis-perform.

TEN minutes before stumps, I switched bets and traded to an England win book.

21:16 ODI Series West Indies v England - 1st ODI / Match Odds
Comm Charged 5% On Net winnings of GBP8.4 - - - (0.42 Betfair taking a drink... cheers!)

21:16 ODI Series West Indies v England - 1st ODI / Match Odds / England
Back 1.87 20.00 Won 17.40

14:22 ODI Series West Indies v England - 1st ODI / Match Odds / England
Lay 1.90 10.00 Lost (9.00)

I've absolutely no idea why I did this, as the Windies were sure to win. However, a mis-calculation of the 'Duckworth-Lewis Method' (http://www.dtol.co.uk/rain_rules.htm) by the Windies backroom staff handed England a win by ONE run and Jack's bread was buttered!

Actually, it's a bit of a shame to see a sporting event reduced to an arithmetic formula rather than bat-on-ball.

Anyway, it was a long day in the chair and I strayed on a few occasions to raid some offshore football and boxing.

Friday's Profit and Loss put the whole experiment back on track:

Boxing: GBP2.04 | Cricket: GBP7.98 | Soccer: GBP15.67 Total P&L: GBP25.69

Super Saturday Starts Here!!

Already in the green for Portsmouth v Everton match and I'm anticipating a hard day's trading.

Live In-Play Football at Betfair

Sat 21st March
06:00 Yokohama FM v Kashiwa
11:00 Slavia Sofia v Sliven
12:00 Silkeborg v Viborg
12:15 Dinamo Moscow v Khimki
12:30 Kilmarnock v Motherwell
12:45 Portsmouth v Everton
portsmouth-v-everton.gif
Everton went 0-1 up very early on and their odds plunged. I put a Lay bet on Everton (away team with nothing to gain - home team needs a win or at least a point). Portsmouth score and I go green immediately to get a FREE bet that just cannot fail to return a profit. Let's hope this trend continues...

13:00 Apollon Kalamarias v Giannina
13:15 Gaziantepspor v Trabzonspor
14:30 B Munich v Karlsruhe
14:30 Bielefeld v Wolfsburg
14:30 Cottbus v FC Koln
14:30 Dortmund v W Bremen
14:30 Hoffenheim v Hannover
14:30 Leverkusen v Frankfurt
14:30 Stuttgart v H Berlin
15:00 Blackburn v West Ham
west-brom-v-bolton.gif
This could be interesting. Both teams need a win. One point each is just not good enough for either team. I take Bolton for the first goal and then plan to trade my ass off!
west-brom-v-bolton-green.gif
Home goal late in the second half proves my point about covering your ass and position sooner rather than later LOL


15:00 Fulham v Man Utd
fulham-v-man-united.gif
Yet again... Lay the Reds and hope for Fulham to hold on. This is NOT a good plan; but it IS mine and ownership has a certain trading advantage if events turn in my favour.

fulham-v-man-united-green-book.gif
Well... shag the cat!

Man U down to 10 men and a goal down. I go green and have yet another FREE bet. Strewth, maybe I could have hung on and hoped for better odds, but past experiences have persuaded me to be safe-rather-than-sorry.

I might end up being sorry... switched bet and went for the draw:

fulham-v-man-united-green-book-change.gif
All to play for, just wish I was there watching it live.
fulham-v-man-united-green-book-change2.gif
NINE men and 2-0 down... who could have predicted that? Still, I'm in the green and life is goodCool

15:00 Stoke v Middlesbrough
15:00 Tottenham v Chelsea
tottenham-v-chelsea.gif
Chelsea to score a late, late goal... and do Jack a favour!

It was close; but not close enough. This bet went tits-up and scuppered my hard won profits for the day. It's a bugger, but I will recover!


15:00 West Brom v Bolton
15:00 Triestina v Parma
15:00 Valerenga v Aalesunds
15:00 Kalmar FF v IFK Goteborg
15:00 Rangers v Hearts
16:00 Randers v Brondby
16:00 Ruch Chorzow v Odra Wodzislaw
16:45 Aarau v Sion
17:00 Sivasspor v Besiktas
17:00 Austria Karnten v Rapid Vienna
17:00 Catania v Lazio
17:15 Lech Poznan v Arka Gdynia
17:20 C Palace v Reading
17:30 Newcastle v Arsenal
newcastle-v-arsenal.gif
17:45 NEC Nijmegen v Willem II
18:00 Le Havre v Bordeaux
18:15 Slask Wroclaw v Polonia Warsaw
19:00 Villarreal v Ath Bilbao
19:30 Roma v Juventus
19:45 Sparta Rotterdam v Heracles
19:45 Sp Lisbon v Benfica
20:00 Marseille v Nantes
21:00 Sevilla v Valladolid
22:10 Guaratingueta v Palmeiras
00:30 Dallas v Chicago Fire
02:30 San Jose Earthquakes v New England

A Rugby Bet in Memory of MY late Uncle John

Status Matched: England £25.00 @ 1.15 Profit £28.75 Liability £3.75

Scotland to get two early penalties and I trade green; England go on to win and I finish yesterday's rum and start on today's vodka.
That's the plan and here's my screen:

england-v-scotland-rugby.gif
Scotland got the early score, but England came back quick and the Lay bet is dead.

I can imagine my Uncle sitting in a bar with a fag and beer in hand and a huge smile on his face. He loved rugby and especially when England won. A Grand Man who NEVER missed his round.

I'm all-in on Ireland later tonight.

wales-v-ireland.gif

Changed bets and went for the Welsh:

wales-v-ireland-switch.gif
Fecking nightmare... no green combination that I can find?

Bugger. fart and shag the cat: NO TRADE - WALES to WIN

Ho, feck... point tits to the sky... great play and Ireland rip in to Wales LOL

My (late) Uncle would cross his legs, sniff, take a drag from his fag: sip his beer and say, "you are a real arse".

Who cares who wins?

Well, Ireland did win; and my Uncle would have taken a great bow, a giant swig of his beer, a huge drag of his fag and then proceed to tell me.... I miss the old git.

Last minute.

It was worth ten quid.

money well spent/lost and I'm sure my Uncle would say, "Nob".

No regrets, Lots of Possibilities.


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